Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000762 0.000870 0.000984 0.001113 0.001255 0.001406 0.001579
2025-03-23 0.000588 0.000736 0.000903 0.001106 0.001343 0.001609 0.001929
2025-03-30 0.000496 0.000662 0.000859 0.001107 0.001408 0.001757 0.002192
2025-04-06 0.000422 0.000597 0.000813 0.001096 0.001451 0.001876 0.002418
2025-04-13 0.000360 0.000538 0.000767 0.001076 0.001476 0.001966 0.002607
2025-04-20 0.000327 0.000512 0.000758 0.001100 0.001553 0.002121 0.002875
2025-04-27 0.000296 0.000486 0.000746 0.001116 0.001618 0.002259 0.003125
2025-05-04 0.000261 0.000449 0.000714 0.001104 0.001642 0.002344 0.003307
2025-05-11 0.000228 0.000411 0.000680 0.001082 0.001652 0.002408 0.003461
2025-05-18 0.000209 0.000394 0.000671 0.001097 0.001710 0.002535 0.003700
2025-05-25 0.000190 0.000373 0.000656 0.001100 0.001751 0.002640 0.003911
2025-06-01 0.000165 0.000339 0.000618 0.001067 0.001738 0.002670 0.004020
2025-06-08 0.000142 0.000308 0.000582 0.001035 0.001727 0.002701 0.004133
2025-06-15 0.000128 0.000290 0.000567 0.001033 0.001757 0.002793 0.004330
2025-06-22 0.000116 0.000275 0.000553 0.001033 0.001790 0.002887 0.004532
2025-06-29 0.000103 0.000257 0.000534 0.001023 0.001807 0.002958 0.004703
2025-07-06 0.000091 0.000238 0.000511 0.001004 0.001809 0.003006 0.004841
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000233 0.000513 0.001027 0.001877 0.003152 0.005122
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000226 0.000511 0.001042 0.001932 0.003280 0.005379
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000212 0.000494 0.001030 0.001943 0.003342 0.005540
2025-08-03 0.000062 0.000196 0.000472 0.001010 0.001939 0.003380 0.005667
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000190 0.000470 0.001023 0.001991 0.003505 0.005922
2025-08-17 0.000053 0.000182 0.000463 0.001026 0.002025 0.003602 0.006140